About past, present and future of Ukraine

Search mobile

Main Diplomacy Alexey Kushch: The events in Syria have already become part of the Great Game involving the USA, Russia, Turkey, Israel, and Iran

Diplomacy

Alexey Kushch: The events in Syria have already become part of the Great Game involving the USA, Russia, Turkey, Israel, and Iran

595
Alexey Kushch: The events in Syria have already become part of the Great Game involving the USA, Russia, Turkey, Israel, and Iran

Share this article

By Alexey Kushch

 

The events in Syria have already become part of the Great Game involving the USA, Russia, Turkey, Israel, and Iran.

And they could become part of a Grand Deal between Israel, the USA, and Russia.

Now it is becoming clear why Russia hesitated so strangely with signing a strategic cooperation agreement with Iran (although it didn't hesitate with North Korea and signed).

The reason is that by signing a similar agreement with Iran, Moscow would have bound itself to obligations in the form of military support for Tehran in the event of its war with Israel and the USA. Or/and with Turkey.

Currently, Tehran has two options.

Either war, or the loss of Lebanon and Hezbollah, and the collapse of the Axis of Resistance.

Israel, on the other hand, has a unique historical window of opportunity, which comes once every fifty years.

For over 50 years, Israel has had three security problems.

The first is the status of the Golan Heights, which Israel has no intention of returning to Syria, but on which UN resolutions are regularly passed.

Not that Israel fears the UN. But it is not "chic" to be in the status of an occupier of foreign territories.

The second problem is the south of Lebanon and Hezbollah. This problem arose as a result of the unsuccessful Second Israeli-Lebanese War and the emergence of Hezbollah in place of the PLO (Palestine Liberation Organization), but with different goals and capabilities.

And the third is Syria, with which Israel is still in a state of war. Plus, the Iranian Axis of Resistance, which runs through Syrian territory.

Now, Israel has the opportunity to solve all three problems at once and secure its northern settlements and the entire country for decades.

To do this, Israel needs to install a puppet "oppositional democratic government" in Damascus.

This government would sign an agreement with Israel to hand over the Golan Heights to Tel Aviv and sever the logistics of the Axis of Resistance between Iran and Lebanon.

Ideally, it would become a ground force in the war against the Shiites of southern Iraq and the Iranian IRGC forces in the region.

Here, for Iran, the key moment is Russia's participation, or lack thereof, in the war in Syria.

Because Russia has aviation and missiles, but most importantly, Russia has nuclear weapons.

Most likely, without Russia's help, Iran would not proceed with a full-scale invasion of its troops into Syria.

But with Russia's help, it is quite possible that they would take the risk.

That is, Russia's exit from Syria or limiting its participation in the war could become part of the Grand Deal.

The promoter of this plan would be Israel, which would exert unprecedented pressure on Washington to ensure that such a historic opportunity is not missed — to resolve all of Israel's northern problems that could not be minimized for almost 50 years and through three Israeli-Lebanese wars!

Judging by Trump's statements, he is not opposed to the USA playing a decisive role in this page of Israeli history.

Most likely, this is why Moscow has been in no hurry to sign the strategic cooperation agreement with Iran.

The Odessa Journal
more articles

Top article

The Ministry of Defense has signed a contract for the construction of a service center for repairing drones in Ukraine
War

The Ministry of Defense has signed a contract ...

Dmytro Kuleba: Ukraine and Croatia have agreed to use Croatian ports for exporting Ukrainian grain
Business

Dmytro Kuleba: Ukraine and Croatia have agree ...

New sanctions: Defence industry, political parties and individuals linked to oligarchs
Business

New sanctions: Defence industry, political pa ...

Volodymyr Zelensky: We are preparing for the next Ramstein meeting, we expect solidly grounded decisions to meet the prospects on the battlefield
War

Volodymyr Zelensky: We are preparing for the ...