France has effectively abandoned guarantees under the currently discussed procedure for seizing frozen Russian assets.
In Germany, Macron’s decision has already been described as a “betrayal.”
But take note.
Within the framework of my model of the new role of the United States and the system of geopolitical moderation (the concept of the “third derivative”), all of this was predictable.
The United States has already “designated” financial and geopolitical donors to support the frontiers on the two flanks of Eurasia — Ukraine and Taiwan.
Germany for Ukraine, and Japan for Taiwan.
Of course, Japan is not yet providing money to Taiwan (which does not rule this out in the future).
For now, this is about geopolitical support.
Japan has already classified any aggression against Taiwan as an attack on its own sovereignty, in accordance with its relatively recent national security law.
As for Germany, this is precisely about money.
Berlin is effectively becoming the sole financial donor to Ukraine.
The United States itself does not intend to spend either soldiers or money anymore.
At least not in the coming years.
That is, knowing my “third derivative” formula, the current situation was easy to predict.
Incidentally, both Japan and Germany are countries that were defeated in World War II.
Partially occupied by the United States and deprived of part of their sovereignty, above all in the sphere of foreign policy.
It is highly doubtful that America will allow them to remilitarize.
These are elephants “broken” by the trainer back in their “childhood.”
They can be “dressed up” as war elephants for intimidation, but they will not go into battle.
They have a different function — to finance and to act as a second-order derivative.
Within my concept of the “third-order derivative”:
A frontier is speed.
A financial donor is the acceleration of the frontier through funding.
A moderator is the change in acceleration — the “joystick.”
