The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has published a report forecasting a slowdown in global GDP growth from 3.2% in 2024 to 3.1% in 2025.
The OECD is an international organization that brings together 38 countries, most of which are high-income nations with high human development indexes. This includes the majority of EU countries, Turkey, the USA, Australia, Switzerland, Norway, South Korea, and Japan.
The predicted negative trend is attributed to factors such as trade protectionism, geopolitical instability, growing uncertainty in the fiscal and monetary policies of leading economies, and rising borrowing costs, which limit investment opportunities.
At the same time, OECD experts expect economic growth in the EU to rise to 1.0% in 2025, up from 0.7% in 2024. Positive GDP dynamics are predicted for Germany (an increase from -0.2% in 2024 to 0.4% in 2025), France (an increase from -0.3% in 2024 to 0.8% in 2025), and Italy (an increase from 0% in 2024 to 0.7% in 2025).
As for China, the forecast predicts a 0.2% decrease in economic growth (to 4.8% in 2025). This shows a gradual slowdown, but compared to other countries, it demonstrates the resilience of the Chinese economy despite external pressures.
