A new offensive without tank potential, artillery, and a full-fledged supply of ammunition to the front will end in a "mass suicide" of the mobilized Russians.
Military expert Alexander Kovalenko believes that Russia will not be able to assemble a strike force for a new offensive by mobilizing 500,000 Russians.
In his Telegram channel, he notes that the mobilization, which Vladimir Putin may announce in January, is designed to compensate for the losses of the Russian army.
"Yes, Russia may be hatching plans for some kind of offensive, but what offensive? Gathering 500,000 suicides that will be used to compensate for losses from the previous 300,000 is not at all forming a strike force capable of conducting an offensive in one, not to mention two directions" , - writes Kovalenko.
According to him, at the moment, the Russian Federation does not have the tank potential that it had at the beginning of 2022, and it will not be possible to restore it quickly.
"Even the reactivation of equipment does not give the desired result due to the large number of tanks requiring additional repairs after storage, and this sometimes costs a month or more of man-hours per combat vehicle," the expert notes.
Kovalenko also talks about the Russians having severe problems with artillery and ammunition.
"In the offensive and defense, the Russian army is helpless without artillery, with which it now has a serious problem. Only one location is provided with an acceptable amount of artillery - Bakhmut, but at the same time, it feels like an acute shortage of ammunition," writes a military expert.
Kovalenko sums up that a new offensive without tank potential, artillery, and a full-fledged supply of ammunition to the front will end in a "mass suicide" of newly mobilized Russians. "Yes, this does not make the Armed Forces of Ukraine any easier, and the game "find the Russian in the field" will become less mysterious, but there is no other way," the expert says.
