The first wave of mobilized will be sent to replenish units that have suffered 40-60% losses.
Alexey Arestovich, the adviser to the OP, doubts the success of partial mobilization in Russia, since the military potential of the Russian Federation is unlikely to cope with such an influx of recruits.
Arestovich spoke about this in an interview with Russian lawyer Mark Feygin.
According to Arestovich, “The first wave of mobilized will be sent to replenish units that have suffered 40-60% losses. People will be more or less capable where the core of personnel has been preserved,” the adviser to the OP explained.
The threat of a second offensive against Kyiv will remain if the second wave of replenishment of reserves is successful. At the same time, Arestovich noted that the Russians do not have the resources to form new formations due to the lack of junior officers.
“A counterattack in the Kharkiv direction is possible to keep our troops on their toes. It is possible to strengthen the grouping on Svatove in order to throw us over Oskol river again,” Arestovich said.
He agreed that Putin’s mobilization is now more of a “demonstration and an attempt to exert pressure.”
“This is terrible idiocy. Because the leadership failed to cope with the conduct of the” special military operation “- resource, administrative, hardware, personnel. When you realize that you can’t cope with something, you reduce and condense it. But they, having a miserable managerial structure, on the contrary, complicate tasks for their apparatus that are more difficult to solve,” Arestovich said.
- On September 21, Putin announced a partial mobilization in Russia, primarily of up to 300,000 specialists with combat experience.
- Moreover, the media draw attention to the fact that the decree of the Russian president, unpublished for the public, may allow the leadership of the Russian Federation to mobilize up to 1 million people.