Defence Intelligence: The “Big Offensive” turned out to be a “flop” for Russia
The “big offensive” announced by the Russians in the winter turned out to be a “bust”, but they will have the resources to continue the war in 2023 and, possibly, 2024. Andriy Chernyak, a representative of the Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, talked about this in an interview with Ukrinform.
“Currently, we see that the Russian army has proved incapable of conducting strategic offensive operations. The so-called “big offensive” announced by propaganda for several months turned out to be a “flop” for Russia – they did not get any significant results,” Andriy Chernyak said.
The representative of the military intelligence of Ukraine added that now the Russians are trying anything to reach the administrative borders of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, but the received intelligence allows the Armed Forces of Ukraine to take effective countermeasures and inflict maximum losses on the occupiers.
“If we talk about an inertial scenario, that is, when the current intensity of hostilities is maintained, then the available resources of the Russians will be enough to wage a conventional war in 2023 and, possibly, in 2024. If the sanctions pressure is increased, then critical difficulties in the state – the aggressor will start earlier,” Andrii Chernyak emphasized.
The representative of the Main Directorate of Intelligence also noted that even now, the impact of sanctions on the military industry of the aggressor country is very noticeable. Now the Russians are experiencing the biggest losses during the entire war, and their production cannot compensate for this due to a lack of components.