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The Ministry of Defense of Poland called the “very high” probability of a war with its participation


The high risk of an escalation of the war is forcing Warsaw to urgently seek consensus on security, defense, and foreign policy issues.

The probability of a war involving Poland is very high, so this scenario should not be considered only hypothetically.

According to Polish Deputy Defense Minister Marcin Ociepa, today the likelihood of a conflict with NATO is very high, as is the likelihood of a conflict between China and the United States, TVP3 Kraków reports.

“If we look at the experience of the 20th century, then the current perspective of this decade also forces us to interpret the events in which we are participants, and not just witnesses, as the second cold war. The risk of escalation is very serious,” Marcin Ociepa said.

According to him, the high risk of an escalation of the war makes it necessary to urgently seek consensus on security, defense, and foreign policy issues.

“It’s hard to exaggerate here, because what we see today is not one of the conflicts after the Second World War, but a direct, full-scale war in which the largest country in the world takes part, and according to pre-war data, the second largest army in the world” – said the Deputy Minister.

Ociepa believes that the course of the war in Ukraine will be decisive for China’s plans “not just for Taiwan.” The European Union will also change under the influence of the war unleashed by Russia.

According to the official, Polish foreign and defense policy faces three important challenges – to make this policy more global, Baltic, and public. In particular, cooperation with like-minded countries should be strengthened, and not only in Europe.