About past, present and future of Ukraine

Main War — Bellingcat Investigator: Putin took into account old mistakes in the war against Ukraine but makes new ones

War

Bellingcat Investigator: Putin took into account old mistakes in the war against Ukraine but makes new ones

16 Jun, 2022
241
Bellingcat Investigator: Putin took into account old mistakes in the war against Ukraine but makes new ones

Share this article


The Kremlin is now setting less ambitious goals in Ukraine than at the beginning of the war.

Christo Grozev, an investigator from the international group Bellingcat, spoke about this in the programme “To be continued”.

Grozev noted that the Kremlin no longer makes the same mistakes that it did at the beginning of a full-scale invasion with a large number of victims of its military.

New mistakes are being made, but those old ones, for example, let's take the whole city today, they don't make them anymore. The Ukrainians let them go - and they considered it a victory. And the Ukrainians began to knock them out from the rear. There are no such mistakes anymore.

Christo Grozev

At the same time, Russian troops, for example, several times trying to cross the rivers with heavy losses.

"Here we have a river - we will make a pontoon bridge" … without checking whether there is a trajectory along which the artillery of the other side can quickly destroy," Grozev noted, adding that in this way "Putin is learning to play in war."

Christo Grozev

Grozev believes that if Ukraine were promptly provided with the weapons that the Armed Forces of Ukraine needed at the very beginning, then Putin would refuse to go further and be satisfied with a "limited victory."

And due to the fact that America, Germany … they did not give heavy weapons for a very long time, this gave Putin the opportunity to continue.

Christo Grozev

These factors have not changed, they are just not predictable, the blogger clarified.

If the same HIMARS arrive in sufficient numbers this or next week, everything can end much faster. And if not, then before the end of the year.

Christo Grozev

In his opinion, delays in supplying weapons helped Russia improve its position. Therefore, says Grozev, the scenario of the use of nuclear weapons by the Russian Federation remains unlikely.


The Odessa Journal

The Odessa Journal

more articles

Top article

The Ministry of Defense has signed a contract for the construction of a service center for repairing drones in Ukraine
War

The Ministry of Defense has signed a contract ...

Dmytro Kuleba: Ukraine and Croatia have agreed to use Croatian ports for exporting Ukrainian grain
Business

Dmytro Kuleba: Ukraine and Croatia have agree ...

New sanctions: Defence industry, political parties and individuals linked to oligarchs
Business

New sanctions: Defence industry, political pa ...

Volodymyr Zelensky: We are preparing for the next Ramstein meeting, we expect solidly grounded decisions to meet the prospects on the battlefield
War

Volodymyr Zelensky: We are preparing for the ...