The Russian government has presented a Plan of Structural Changes through 2030, framed as a strategy for economic growth and resilience. The document covers seven areas and more than 60 indicators, including labor market reforms, stimulation of domestic demand, technological modernization, improvement of the investment climate, development of foreign trade, and optimization of the military-industrial complex. Official forecasts predict GDP growth of 3–4%, inflation falling to 4.5% by 2027, and a reduction of the key interest rate to 10–11%.
However, in essence, it is a declarative and propagandistic document, disconnected from reality. The stated goals contradict actual trends: the labor market is shrinking, the investment climate is deteriorating, and support for defense enterprises undermines any principles of competitiveness. Sanctions, declining production, and capital outflows make the projected targets unattainable.
In practice, the plan is an attempt to create an optimistic façade against a backdrop of severe fiscal constraints. Promises of technological modernization and growth are political rhetoric rather than an economic strategy.
The real purpose of the document is the centralization of control over financial flows, tax revenues, and key sectors. It is not a development program but a tool to strengthen state pressure, highlighting its unrealistic nature and disconnection from real economic processes.
