Russian human rights activist and opposition politician Mark Feygin in an interview with Unian spoke about the upcoming big offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
"First, the West knows something. See what unprecedented activity. And Biden, who has carefully made decisions about moving closer to Kyiv all year, is now on his way to Warsaw and, God knows, maybe even end up in Kyiv. Maybe he will visit Lviv, and symbolically meet Zelensky on the territory of warring Ukraine.
The West would not move Ukraine if it did not know something that we do not know. Throughout the year, the position of the West in terms of forcing the de-occupation and the offensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine was very cautious. To be sure, the decisions were made in Kyiv, but military experts from the Pentagon were undoubtedly working with the military and political leadership in Kyiv. And they have always held the position that one should be more careful with this, because the Russian potential is not fully understood, as what reserves, forces, and opportunities the Russians have. And since the beginning of the year, they began to gallop to transfer armored vehicles to Ukraine, quantitatively increasing a number of ammunition. Apparently, there is something that remains behind the scenes. I am also driven to this by the thought that the planes were discussed and discussed, and something like this: "No, we need to take a break." Such caution precedes some big decision that is publicly voiced.
Is the West pushing Kyiv towards a decisive offensive and de-occupation of territories? Or it will be a cutting of the front - eastern and southern - by a campaign against Melitopol, or the landing of some kind of landing force on the left bank, where the Kinburn Spit is, or it will be a breakthrough to Donetsk. I don't know, I'm not a military expert. But something like that, more or less prepared from the point of view of providing personnel, intelligence and from the point of view of understanding that there is nothing to resist in certain areas of the Russian Federation.
What else could have prompted this? Moscow held a global psychological operation (PSYOP) about its offensive. But, as we understand, the offensive is already underway. So they tried to go to Vuhledar, we see the hottest point - Bakhmut, where significant forces are involved, exceeding the Ukrainian defense. But the achievements are modest. If this is the beginning of such an offensive, then it will definitely not justify the calculations that Moscow puts on it. Perhaps this is due to the fact that the bulk of their forces are mobilized, not a professional army. These people have been trained for a couple of months, and apparently, this is not enough. Maybe the American leadership understands this, which is watching everything and seeing the picture more broadly. US intelligence stretches from the building of the Russian General Staff to the front line in Bakhmut. They listen to phones, they have a colossal number of agents.
I admit that, having seen how modest Moscow has the capabilities to carry out an offensive operation, plus having intelligence information that allows us to judge that the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine can be successful, the Americans are really pushing Kyiv. But Kyiv must be held back. Kyiv itself would like to go faster. Zelensky's position is known, he is really determined.
The Americans have the whole picture. It is made up of many elements. And, this picture allows us to organize and initiate a decisive offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Moreover, it has yet to be discovered in what area. Maybe they even know which one."
