The rocket attacks and the future tactics of the Kremlin, NV spoke about this with military expert Oleg Zhdanov.
"The massive shelling earlier this week is Putin's political pressure on Ukraine to force us to capitulate to the Russian Federation. He will take any measures for this. Therefore, no military purposes. He is counting on our Supreme Commander to stop the army by accepting his proposal for peace talks.
We do not need to rely on a limited missile resource in the Russian Federation. The fact is that today even Western intelligence services cannot say exactly how many missiles are in the warehouses of the Russian Federation because these are Soviet stocks, and no one has ever counted them there. They did not fall under any treaty, except for the treaty on the limitation of conventional arms on the European continent. However, they can conduct these missiles because of the Urals. And waiting until they run out is useless work because they will kill us before they have no missiles.
I'll tell you how they effectively fight our air defense: they make two waves of missile strikes. In the first wave, we try to shoot down their missiles as much as possible and fire our anti-aircraft missiles. And after 1-2 hours, there is a strike from the Russian Federation, and our air defense systems do not have time to recharge, so you can fly calmly.
Putin has just begun the shelling tactics. Now the Russian commander Sergei Surovikin will methodically destroy our energy system. We are restoring the first waves at the expense of reserves. So? It will extinguish our step-down substations. And where will we get transformers to restore them? They have an attrition tactic. Either we will try to close the sky, then the effectiveness of their strikes will be reduced to almost zero, or we will freeze and have no water.
So far, air defense deliveries are just an agreement. We have been negotiating on air defense and missile defense for 7 months now. The only time Slovakia handed over the S-300 to us. I don't understand why we don't go to the market and buy? We are given money. We could buy either analogs or the same complexes. For one month of deputies' salaries, we can purchase several NASAMS complexes. They are on sale, but we are waiting for grants.
So the scenario for the winter is good and bad for us.
Bad: we may be left without a heat generating system or it will be minimal due to destruction by the Russian Federation. Then there will be a huge problem, especially in the cities. Because without electricity, there is no water, which will lead to sanitary and epidemiological problems. And without electricity, there is no heat.
An optimistic scenario: if in the coming weeks, before the end of this week, the first air defense system starts to visit Ukraine, then we can raise the question whether we will be able to live this winter with heat and water."
